Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.670331 4.376187 5.162577 6.100930 7.187274 8.402440 9.861553
2025-10-05 2.806817 3.755328 4.919809 6.442999 8.369842 10.712065 13.758821
2025-10-12 2.214707 3.262874 4.657036 6.621123 9.286077 12.741182 17.517922
2025-10-19 1.845614 2.953227 4.529920 6.892699 10.287838 14.924126 21.651657
2025-10-26 1.508127 2.604537 4.265176 6.896075 10.873772 16.558040 25.158907
2025-11-02 1.200317 2.231183 3.887785 6.653300 11.036762 17.567465 27.831946
2025-11-09 0.966488 1.927023 3.559318 6.420387 11.156695 18.485783 30.406643
2025-11-16 0.823028 1.748922 3.403520 6.432178 11.641186 19.972299 33.929884
2025-11-23 0.707069 1.597232 3.265943 6.447597 12.117947 21.467523 37.561836
2025-11-30 0.602035 1.444935 3.101130 6.386683 12.446315 22.732804 40.901107
2025-12-07 0.489238 1.252395 2.828111 6.086022 12.311111 23.198214 42.936993
2025-12-14 0.421084 1.142546 2.699755 6.039575 12.622496 24.438193 46.351000
2025-12-21 0.362047 1.042885 2.580325 6.001862 12.958510 25.770835 50.068487
2025-12-28 0.342740 1.036187 2.659906 6.381219 14.135025 28.706848 56.826764
2026-01-04 0.311698 0.992787 2.650659 6.570667 14.952187 31.040652 62.656535
2026-01-11 0.289356 0.967672 2.679309 6.844353 15.962530 33.804979 69.448747
2026-01-18 0.254408 0.899084 2.592971 6.848874 16.412563 35.527122 74.405868
2026-01-25 0.212399 0.798857 2.411048 6.607908 16.313732 36.166215 77.344035
2026-02-01 0.177443 0.710533 2.243556 6.376502 16.207159 36.772521 80.244879
2026-02-08 0.157058 0.664000 2.179350 6.388249 16.640412 38.496862 85.436373
2026-02-15 0.139365 0.621806 2.119872 6.403584 17.081246 40.263633 90.814286
2026-02-22 0.121557 0.573965 2.035653 6.343040 17.337039 41.655258 95.510735
2026-03-01 0.099739 0.503680 1.871055 6.044205 16.991190 41.729667 97.495872